Computer Prediction of Seawater Sensor Parameters in the Central Arctic Region Based on Hybrid Machine Learning Algorithms

Abstract

In recent years, with the large-scale reduction of Arctic sea ice, the supplement of chlorophyll sensor data in seawater has become an essential part of environmental assessment. Accurately predicting the chlorophyll sensor data in seawater is of great significance to protect the Arctic marine ecological environment. A machine learning prediction method combined with wavelet transform is proposed. This process uses data from upper ocean observation buoys placed in the Arctic Ocean (A.O.) to predict the sensor analogue of chlorophyll-a (C.A.) in the upper ocean of the Arctic Ocean. Choose the best wavelet transform method and prevent the LSTM gradient from disappearing. A model combining SAE (stacked autoencoder) Bi (bidirectional) LSTM (long short-term memory) and wavelet transform is proposed. Experiments were conducted to compare the predictive performance of buoy data input as univariate at two different times and locations in the Arctic Ocean. The results show that compared with other models (such as LSTM), in the SAE Bi LSTM model, the data of the two sites have the highest prediction accuracy. The best wavelet transform methods are fourth-order four-layer and first-order four-layer. The observational data of the Chukchi Sea from 2018 to 2019 obtained the best prediction results. The root mean square error (RMSE) value is 0.02003 volts; the average absolute error (MAE) is 0.0841 volts. This research provides a new method for predicting the chlorophyll sensor parameters in the upper ocean through the sea ice buoy observed at a given point, which helps to improve the accuracy of the ocean sensor parameter prediction on the Arctic ice buoy.

Keywords

• Arctic ocean data
• chlorophyll-a
• ice buoy measurement
• neural networks