Artificial Neural Network Model to Predict the Exportation of Traditional Products of Colombia

Abstract

This article develops the design, training, and validation of a computational model to predict the exportation of traditional Colombian products using artificial neural networks. This work aims to obtain a model using a single multilayer neural network. The number of historical input data (delays), the number of layers, and the number of neurons were considered for the neural network design. In this way, an experimental design of 64 configurations of the neural network was performed. The main arduousness addressed in this work is the significant difference (in tons) in the values of the considered products. The results show the effect that occurs due to the different range values, and one of the proposals made allows this limitation to be handled appropriately. In summary, this work seeks to provide essential information for formulating a model for efficient and practical application.

Keywords

• artificial intelligence
• exportation
• neural network model
• prediction