Optimized Soil Moisture Mapping Strategies on the Tibetan Plateau Using Downscaled and Interpolated Maps as Mutual Covariates

Abstract

Accurate high-resolution soil moisture maps are crucial for a better understanding of hydrological processes and energy cycles. Mapping strategies such as downscaling and interpolation have been developed to obtain high-resolution soil moisture maps from multi-source inputs. However, research on the optimization performance of integrating downscaling and interpolation, especially through the use of mutual covariates, remains unclear. In this study, we compared four methods—two standalone methods based on downscaling and interpolation strategies and two combined methods that utilize soil moisture maps as mutual covariates within each strategy—in a case study of daily soil moisture mapping at a 1 km resolution in the Tibetan Plateau. We assessed mapping performance in terms of prediction accuracy and differences in spatial coverage. The results indicated that introducing interpolated soil moisture maps into the downscaling strategy significantly improved prediction accuracy (RMSE: −5.94%, correlation coefficient: +14.02%) but was limited to localized spatial coverage (6.9% of grid cells) near in situ sites. Conversely, integrating downscaled soil moisture maps into the interpolation strategy resulted in only modest gains in prediction accuracy (RMSE: −1.07%, correlation coefficient: +1.04%), yet facilitated broader spatial coverage (40.4% of grid cells). This study highlights the critical differences between downscaling and interpolation strategies in terms of accuracy improvement and spatial coverage, providing a reference for optimizing soil moisture mapping over large areas.

Keywords

• spatial prediction
• machine learning
• random forest
• variable importance
• digital soil mapping