Energies (Jun 2024)

Investments in Electricity Distribution Grids: Strategic versus Incremental Planning

  • Spyros Giannelos,
  • Tai Zhang,
  • Danny Pudjianto,
  • Ioannis Konstantelos,
  • Goran Strbac

DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/en17112724
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 17, no. 11
p. 2724

Abstract

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The ongoing electrification of the transport sector is expected to cause an increase in electricity demand and, therefore, trigger significant network investments to accommodate it. This paper focuses on investment decision-making for electricity distribution grids and specifically on the strategic and incremental investment network planning approaches. In particular, the former involves network planning with the consideration of a long-term multi-stage study horizon, as opposed to a shorter–term view of the future that applies to the latter case. An investment analysis that is carried out underlines the economic savings generated from adopting a strategic investment perspective over an incremental one. These economic savings are achieved from the fact that the associated fixed investment costs are incurred only once in the horizon under strategic planning. On the other hand, incremental planning involves a series of network reinforcement decisions, thereby incurring the fixed cost multiple times. In addition, sensitivity analyses that are carried out capture the effect of key parameters, such as investment cost, discount rate and investment delay, on the generated economic savings.

Keywords