Prediction of Reference Evapotranspiration (ET0) Variations in Yazd Province Using Niazab System\'s Data

Abstract

Evapotranspiration variations (ET0) were investigated and analyzed using Minitab16 software for the 2010-2019 period using the Nizab system's data in Yazd province, and then ET0 was predicted until 2027. Based on the results, the increase of ET0 in cities of Yazd province was affected by the enhancement in wind speed and weather temperature, and the decrease in relative humidity from 2010 to 2019. To determine the appropriate model, Ardakan, Abarkooh, and Taft cities were selected as a representative in each climatic group, and ET0 data for the years 2010 to 2015 were considered as the input data of the software and ET0 data for the years from 2016 to 2019 were used to validate the determined model. The prediction of the determined models showed an increasing trend of ET0 for cold seasons in Ardakan and Abarkoh by 2027. Also, the model prediction showed a decreasing trend of ET0 for hot seasons in Taft by 2027. Also, the ET0 will not change significantly in cold seasons. In Abarkoh and Ardakan cities, autumn-spring crops such as wheat and in Taft city, spring-summer crops such as sunflower will be more affected by ET0 variations.

Keywords

• water requirement
• yield
• climate change
• cropping pattern