Propagation analysis and prediction of the COVID-19

Lixiang Li; Zihang Yang; Zhongkai Dang; Cui Meng; Jingze Huang; Haotian Meng; Deyu Wang; Guanhua Chen; Jiaxuan Zhang; Haipeng Peng; Yiming Shao

Infectious Disease Modelling (Jan 2020)

Propagation analysis and prediction of the COVID-19

Lixiang Li,
Zihang Yang,
Zhongkai Dang,
Cui Meng,
Jingze Huang,
Haotian Meng,
Deyu Wang,
Guanhua Chen,
Jiaxuan Zhang,
Haipeng Peng,
Yiming Shao

Affiliations

Lixiang Li: Information Security Center, State Key Laboratory of Networking and Switching Technology, Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Beijing, 100876, China
Zihang Yang: Information Security Center, State Key Laboratory of Networking and Switching Technology, Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Beijing, 100876, China
Zhongkai Dang: Information Security Center, State Key Laboratory of Networking and Switching Technology, Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Beijing, 100876, China
Cui Meng: Information Security Center, State Key Laboratory of Networking and Switching Technology, Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Beijing, 100876, China
Jingze Huang: Information Security Center, State Key Laboratory of Networking and Switching Technology, Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Beijing, 100876, China
Haotian Meng: Information Security Center, State Key Laboratory of Networking and Switching Technology, Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Beijing, 100876, China
Deyu Wang: Information Security Center, State Key Laboratory of Networking and Switching Technology, Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Beijing, 100876, China
Guanhua Chen: Information Security Center, State Key Laboratory of Networking and Switching Technology, Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Beijing, 100876, China
Jiaxuan Zhang: Information Security Center, State Key Laboratory of Networking and Switching Technology, Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Beijing, 100876, China
Haipeng Peng: Information Security Center, State Key Laboratory of Networking and Switching Technology, Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Beijing, 100876, China; Corresponding author.
Yiming Shao: State Key Laboratory of Infectious Disease Prevention and Control, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention (China CDC), Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, Beijing, China; Corresponding author.

Journal volume & issue: Vol. 5
pp. 282 – 292

Abstract

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Based on the official data modeling, this paper studies the transmission process of the Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). The error between the model and the official data curve is quite small. At the same time, it realized forward prediction and backward inference of the epidemic situation, and the relevant analysis help relevant countries to make decisions.

Published in Infectious Disease Modelling

ISSN: 2468-0427 (Online)
Publisher: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd.
Country of publisher: China
LCC subjects: Medicine: Internal medicine: Infectious and parasitic diseases
Website: https://www.keaipublishing.com/en/journals/infectious-disease-modelling/

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