Diagnosing uncertainties in global biomass burning emission inventories and their impact on modeled air pollutants

Abstract

Large uncertainties persist within current biomass burning (BB) inventories, and the choice of these inventories can substantially impact model results when assessing the influence of BB aerosols on weather and climate. We evaluated discrepancies among BB emission inventories by comparing carbon monoxide (CO) and organic carbon (OC) emissions from seven major BB regions globally between 2013 and 2016. Mainstream bottom-up inventories, including the Fire INventory from NCAR 1.5 (FINN1.5) and Global Fire Emissions Database version 4s (GFED4s), along with the top-down inventories Quick Fire Emissions Dataset 2.5 (QFED2.5) and Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer (VIIRS-)based Fire Emission Inventory version 0 (VFEI0), were selected for this study. Global CO emissions range from 252 to 336 Tg, with regional disparities reaching up to a 6-fold difference. Dry matter is the primary contributor to the regional variation in CO emissions (50 %–80 %), with emission factors accounting for the remaining 20 %–50 %. Uncertainties in dry matter often arise from biases in calculating bottom fuel consumption and burned area, influenced by vegetation classification methods and fire detection products. In the tropics, peatlands contribute more fuel loads and higher emission factors than grasslands. At high latitudes, increased cloud fraction amplifies the discrepancy in estimated burned area (or fire radiative power) by 20 %. The global OC emissions range from 14.9 to 42.9 Tg, exhibiting higher variability than CO emissions due to the corrected emission factors in QFED2.5, with regional disparities reaching a factor of 8.7. Additionally, we applied these BB emission inventories to the Community Atmosphere Model version 6 (CAM6) and assessed the model performance against observations. Our results suggest that the simulations based on the GFED4s agree best with the Measurements of Pollution in the Troposphere (MOPITT-)retrieved CO. While comparing the simulation with the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and AErosol RObotic NETwork (AERONET) aerosol optical depth (AOD), our results reveal that there is no global optimal choice for BB inventories. In the high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere, using GFED4s and QFED2.5 can better capture the AOD magnitude and diurnal variation. In equatorial Asia, GFED4s outperforms other models in representing day-to-day changes, particularly during intense burning. In Southeast Asia, we recommend using the OC emission magnitude from FINN1.5 combined with daily variability from QFED2.5. In the Southern Hemisphere, the latest VFEI0 has performed relatively well. This study has implications for reducing the uncertainties in emissions and improving BB emission inventories in further studies.