Vehicle-to-Cyclist Collision Prediction Models by Applying Machine Learning Techniques to Virtual Reality Bicycle Simulator Data

Abstract

The study of vulnerable road users (VRUs) behavior is key to designing and optimizing driving assistance systems, such as the autonomous emergency braking (AEB) system. These kinds of devices could help lower the VRU accident rate, which is of particular interest to cyclists, who are the subject of this research. To better understand cyclists’ reaction patterns in frequently occurring collision scenarios in urban environments, this paper focuses on developing a virtual reality (VR) simulator for cyclists (VRBikeSim) that incorporates eye-tracking functionality. The braking and steering systems were calibrated by means of on-track tests with a sensorized bicycle in order to improve the accuracy of the bicycle virtual model. From the data obtained in the virtual tests, a battery of predictive models was built using supervised machine learning classifiers. All of them exhibited an accuracy higher than 85%, especially the K-Nearest Neighbors model. This model allowed us to obtain the best balance between the prediction of avoidance and collision cases, as well as enabling computationally lower times to be incorporated into the decision-making algorithm of an AEB system.

Keywords

• vulnerable road users (VRUs)
• virtual reality cyclist simulator (VRBikeSim)
• collision
• predictive collision model
• machine learning
• performance metrics