Exploring Urbanization Strategies by Dissecting Aggregate Crowd Behaviors: A Case Study in China

Abstract

Town development, a crucial stage of urbanization, has been increasingly prioritized in recent sustainable socio-economic growth strategies. Vitality, especially the one measured by aggregate crowd behaviors, is widely recognized as a crucial development element. Conducting comprehensive assessments of the drivers of town vitality, particularly crowd vitality, is thus essential for addressing challenges and monitoring progress. This study examines representative towns in China and employs multiple datasets along with XGBoost-SHAP to investigate the mechanisms of development environment factors on aggregate crowd vitality. Key findings highlight the study’s novelty and broader implications: (1) The degree of industrial agglomeration is the most significant factor impacting the dependent measures, providing new data-driven insights into the role of economic clustering in town development. (2) Other indicators, such as the minimum distance to the town center, the enclosure, and car and pedestrian friendliness, can effectively predict town vitality, offering practical considerations for town planning. (3) Industrial innovation and diversification, rational planning of living circles, and enhancement of town conditions emerge as three crucial strategies for promoting urbanization. This study enhances empirical insights with strategies for addressing urbanization challenges, emphasizing how crowd data can be used to inform urbanization policies and planning practices, aiding urban planners in building more sustainable systems.

Keywords

• town developmental environment
• XGBoost-SHAP
• nonlinear effect
• crowd vitality
• spatial dynamics