Identification and prioritization, types of threats at the scene of future wars Using the AHP-TOPSIS hybrid approach

Abstract

Threats in the future war scene. For this purpose, by examining the literature of previous studies and studies, a total of 14 primary factors related to the type of threats were identified. To confirm the identified factors, a questionnaire was distributed among the experts of experts and experts to 241 people. Finally, 230 questionnaires were collected. Then, the reliability of the questionnaire was assessed by Cronbach's alpha test and content validity in qualitative and quantitative form using two relative content validity and content validity index. The results showed the validity and reliability of the questionnaire. In order to screen the key factors, the questionnaire validity of the questionnaires was evaluated. In total, 8 factors were selected as the most important and final factors. Then, using the exploratory factor analysis method, the identified factors were classified into two types of classes and tools. In the next stage, a paired (fuzzy) questionnaire was designed and distributed among experts. Finally, 15 completed questionnaires were compiled. Then, the prioritization of the threats was done by Fuzzy AHP and Topsis. Finally, the results of cyberspace and warfare and artificial intelligence in weapons were given priority, respectively, with the presentation of practical suggestions for the studied community.

Keywords

• future war
• future studies
• strategy
• threats