Investigation on the Relationship between Satellite Air Quality Measurements and Industrial Production by Generalized Additive Modeling

Abstract

The development of the green economy is universally recognized as a solution to natural resource shortages and environmental pollution. When exploring and developing a green economy, it is important to study the relationships between the environment and economic development. As opposed to descriptive and qualitative research without modeling or based on environmental Kuznets curves, quantitative relationships between environmental protection and economic development must be identified for exploration and practice. In this paper, we used the generalized additive model (GAM) regression method to identify relationships between atmospheric pollutants (e.g., NO2, SO2 and CO) from remote sensing and in situ measurements and their driving effectors, including meteorology and economic indicators. Three representative cities in the Anhui province, such as Hefei (technology-based industry), Tongling (resource-based industry) and Huangshan (tourism-based industry), were studied from 2016 to 2020. After eliminating the influence of meteorological factors, the relationship between air quality indexes and industrial production in the target cities was clearly observed. Taking Hefei, for example, when the normalized output of chemical products increases by one unit, the effect on atmospheric NO2 content increases by about 20%. When the normalized output of chemical product increases by one unit, the effect on atmospheric SO2 content increases by about 10%. When chemical and steel product outputs increase by one unit, the effect on atmospheric CO content increases by 25% and 20%, respectively. These results can help different cities predict local economic development trends varying by the changes in air quality and adjust local industrial structure.

Keywords

• green economy
• satellite air quality measurements
• industrial production
• remote sensing
• generalized additive model