Concentration and Spatial Clustering of Forest-Based Thermoelectric Plants in Brazil

Abstract

This study analyzes the concentration and conglomerate spatial distribution of forest-based thermoelectric plants in Brazil, in 2018. Herein, we spatially identified thermoelectric plants in different Brazilian regions and states, and measured the state concentrations (levels 1 and 2 of forest) using various indicators, including the concentration ratio (CR ( $k$ )), the Herfindahl-Hirschman index (HHI), Theil’s entropy ( $E$ ), and the Gini coefficient ( $G$ ). Meanwhile, each state’s conglomerates were evaluated using the Scan statistic. We found that there are 98 forest-base thermoelectric plants in Brazil, most of which are located in the south-central portion of the country where there is rapid forest growth. The southern region contains 32.65% of the identified plants as a result of the presence of level 2 forest resources (black liquor and forest waste). Regarding the state’s concentration (forest level 1), CR ( $k$ ) revealed a moderate concentration, the HHI and $E$ indices demonstrated low concentrations, and $G$ suggested null to weak inequality. Of these Brazilian forest bioelectricity plants (level 1), 4 clusters were identified, but only one was statistically significant, located in the southern region. Concerning level 2 sources, the only statistically significant conglomerate regarding charcoal was centered in Açailândia (Maranhão). These findings will provide information to assist industry decision-making processes and help guide public policies for forest bioelectricity development in Brazil that favor energy security and improve resource utilization.

Keywords

• Bioenergy
• forest economy
• market study