Nomogram prediction for the prediction of clinical pregnancy in Freeze-thawed Embryo Transfer

Abstract

Abstract Background This study aimed to identify multiple endometrial receptivity related factors by applying non-invasive, repeatable multimodal ultrasound methods. Combined with basic clinical data, we further established a practical prediction model for early clinical outcomes in Freeze-thawed Embryo Transfer (FET). Methods Retrospective analysis of clinical data of infertility patients undergoing FET cycle in our Center from January 2017 to September 2019. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and decision curve analyses were performed by 500 bootstrap resamplings to assess the determination and clinical value of the nomogram, respectively. Results A total of 2457 FET cycles were included. We developed simple nomograms that predict the early clinical outcomes in FET cycles by using the parameters of age, BMI, type and number of embryos transferred, endometrial thickness, FI, RI, PI and number of endometrial and sub-endometrial blood flow. In the training cohort, the area under the ROC curve (AUC) showed statistical accuracy (AUC = 0.698), and similar results were shown in the subsequent validation cohort (AUC = 0.699). Decision curve analysis demonstrated the clinical value of this nomogram. Conclusions Our nomogram can predict clinical outcomes and it can be used as a simple, affordable and widely implementable tool to provide guidance and treatment recommendations for FET patients.

Keywords

• Clinical pregnancy outcome
• Nomogram
• Endometrial receptivity
• Frozen-thawed embryo transfer