Development of a Novel Proteomic Risk-Classifier for Prognostication of Patients With Early-Stage Hormone Receptor–Positive Breast Cancer

Abstract

Use of proteomic strategies to identify a risk classifier that estimates probability of distant recurrence in early-stage hormone receptor (HR)-positive breast cancer is relevant to physiological cellular function and therefore to intrinsic tumor biology. We used a 298-sample retrospective training set to develop an immunohistochemistry-based novel risk classifier called CanAssist-Breast (CAB) which combines 5 prognostically relevant biomarkers and 3 clinico-pathological parameters to arrive at probability of distant recurrence within 5 years from diagnosis. Five selected biomarkers, namely, CD44, ABCC4, ABCC11, N-cadherin, and pan-cadherin, were chosen based on their role in tumor metastasis. The chosen biomarkers represent the hallmarks of cancer and are distinct from other proliferation and gene expression–based prognostic signatures. The 3 clinico-pathological parameters integrated into the machine learning–based CAB algorithm are tumor size, tumor grade, and node status. These features are used to calculate a “CAB risk score” that classifies patients into low- or high-risk groups and predicts probability of distant recurrence in 5 years. Independent clinical validation of CAB in a retrospective study comprising 196 patients indicated that distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) was significantly different in the 2 risk groups. The difference in DMFS between the low- and high-risk categories was 19% in the validation cohort ( P = .0002). In multivariate analysis, CAB risk score was the most significant independent predictor of distant recurrence with a hazard ratio of 4.3 ( P = .0003). CanAssist-Breast is a precise and unique machine learning–based proteomic risk-classifier that can assist in risk stratification of patients with early-stage HR+ breast cancer.