Machine Learning for Predicting Biologic Agent Efficacy in Ulcerative Colitis: An Analysis for Generalizability and Combination with Computational Models

Abstract

Machine learning (ML) has been applied to predict the efficacy of biologic agents in ulcerative colitis (UC). ML can offer precision, personalization, efficiency, and automation. Moreover, it can improve decision support in predicting clinical outcomes. However, it faces challenges related to data quality and quantity, overfitting, generalization, and interpretability. This paper comments on two recent ML models that predict the efficacy of vedolizumab and ustekinumab in UC. Models that consider multiple pathways, multiple ethnicities, and combinations of real-world and clinical trial data are required for optimal shared decision-making and precision medicine. This paper also highlights the potential of combining ML with computational models to enhance clinical outcomes and personalized healthcare. Key Insights: (1) ML offers precision, personalization, efficiency, and decision support for predicting the efficacy of biologic agents in UC. (2) Challenging aspects in ML prediction include data quality, overfitting, and interpretability. (3) Multiple pathways, multiple ethnicities, and combinations of real-world and clinical trial data should be considered in predictive models for optimal decision-making. (4) Combining ML with computational models may improve clinical outcomes and personalized healthcare.

Keywords

• biologic agents
• machine learning
• artificial intelligence
• computational models
• prediction
• ulcerative colitis