THE FORENSIC MEDICAL ASPECTS OF CHILD MORTALITY AND APPROACHES OF ITS PREDICTION IN VOLGOGRAD REGION

Abstract

The article analyzes the mortality of minors in the Volgograd region over the past five years. The number of deaths of children and adolescents in subsequent years is predicted, with the definition of further directions for studying the mortality of minors in other regions of the Russian Federation. With the help of the found mathematical model, a point and interval prediction of the mortality of children and adolescents in the Volgograd region was made and it was shown with what probability in 2018 and in 2019 one could expect the resulting number of deceased persons of the studied age. Further directions for studying the mortality of minors with the aim of reducing the preventable losses of the younger generation, improving the demographic situation in the constituent entities of the Russian Federation have been determined.

Keywords

• mortality
• children
• adolescents
• mathematical models
• volgograd region