Clinical manifestations and risk factors of shock in children with multisystem inflammatory syndrome

Abstract

Background: Multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C) is a novel disease associated with COVID-19. The COVID-19 epidemic peaked in May 2022 in Taiwan, and we encountered our first case of MIS-C in late May 2022. We aimed to present patients’ clinical manifestations and identify risk factors for shock. Methods: We included patients diagnosed with MIS-C at two medical centers from May 2022 to August 2022. We separated those patients into two groups according to whether they experienced shock. We collected demographic, clinical manifestation, and laboratory data of the patients and performed statistical analysis between the two groups. Results: We enrolled 28 patients, including 13 (46 %) with shock and 15 (54 %) without shock. The median age was 6.4 years (IQR: 1.9–7.5). In single variable analysis, patients with shock tended to be older, had more neurological symptoms, more conjunctivitis and strawberry tongue, lower lymphocyte count, lower platelet counts, and higher C-reactive protein, higher procalcitonin, higher ferritin, and higher D-dimer levels than those without shock. The area under the ROC curve that used procalcitonin to be the risk factor of shock with MIS-C was 0.815 (95 % CI 0.644 to 0.987). The cutoff value obtained by ROC analysis of procalcitonin was 1.68 ng/mL. With this cutoff, the test characteristics of procalcitonin were as follows: sensitivity 77 %, specificity 93 %, positive predictive value 91 %, negative predictive value 82 %. Multivariable analysis revealed that procalcitonin was the only independent risk factor of shock with MIS-C on admission (OR, 26.00, 95 % CI, 1.01–668.89). Conclusions: MIS-C patients with high initial procalcitonin levels have higher risks of experiencing shock and may need ICU admission.

Keywords

• COVID-19
• MIS-C
• Shock
• Procalcitonin
• Risk factor