Current and future potential distribution of two bamboo pests in China: Anaka burmensis and Cicadella viridis (Hemiptera, Cicadellidae)

Abstract

China’s bamboo output is closely associated with its national economy; however, it is currently rapidly declining due to damage from the pests Anaka burmensis and Cicadella viridis. Identifying regions that are environmentally suitable for these pests is a critical step in their effective control. Therefore, in this study, we used a Maxent model to predict their current and future potential areas of distribution (2021–2040, 2041–2060, and 2061–2080) and explored changes over time using distribution data and related environmental variables. The model results demonstrates that the current potential areas of distribution of A. burmensis are predominantly concentrated in several provinces of southern and central China, such as Guizhou, Guangxi, and Hubei, whereas the current potential areas of distribution of C. viridis are primarily in many provinces across southern, central, and northeastern China. In the future, the potential distribution of A. burmensis will increase and move minimally, whereas the potential distribution of C. viridis will decrease and move considerably. The results of the present study provide vital information for predicting the spread and outbreaks of C. viridis and A. burmensis and provide a reference framework for developing management strategies to control these two pests, thereby minimizing economic loss in the bamboo industry.