Constant global population with demographic heterogeneity

Demographic Research. 2008;18:14


Journal Homepage

Journal Title: Demographic Research

ISSN: 1435-9871 (Print)

Publisher: Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

Society/Institution: Max Planck Society

LCC Subject Category: Social Sciences: Economic theory. Demography: Demography. Population. Vital events

Country of publisher: Germany

Language of fulltext: English

Full-text formats available: PDF



Joel E. Cohen


Double blind peer review

Editorial Board

Instructions for authors

Time From Submission to Publication: 28 weeks


Abstract | Full Text

To understand better a possible future constant global population that is demographically heterogeneous, this paper analyzes several models. Classical theory of stationary populations generally fails to apply. However, if constant global population size P(global) is the sum of all country population sizes, and if constant global annual number of births B(global) is the sum of the annual number of births of all countries, and if constant global life expectancy at birth e(global) is the population-weighted mean of the life expectancy at birth of all countries, then B(global) x e(global) always exceeds P(global) unless all countries have the same life expectancy at birth.