Mathematical modeling for the development of traffic based on the theory of system dynamics

Abstract

This paper is concerned with mathematical modeling for the development of Shandong traffic. The system dynamics model of the development of traffic in Shandong is established. In terms of this model, it is shown that highway operation as well as rail transit promotes the development of traffic, while traffic accidents inhibit traffic development. Moreover, the maximum error between the output data and the statistics bureau, based on which some forecasts for the development of traffic in the future are given, is obtained, some suggestions and optimization schemes for traffic development are given. Finally, a neural network model of the development of Shandong traffic is also derived.

Keywords

• traffic development
• system dynamics
• neural network model