Communications Earth & Environment (Jul 2021)

Observation-based selection of climate models projects Arctic ice-free summers around 2035

  • David Docquier,
  • Torben Koenigk

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-021-00214-7
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 2, no. 1
pp. 1 – 8

Abstract

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The Arctic Ocean could be ice free in summer as early as 2035, according to an analysis of CMIP6 models which selects only the models that best capture observed sea-ice area and volume and northward ocean heat transport