Стратегічна панорама (Apr 2018)

AGGRESSION OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION AGAINST UKRAINE AS A FACTOR OF GEOPOLITICAL AND GEO-ECONOMIC CHANGES

  • A. Shevtsov,
  • H. Mernikov

Journal volume & issue
no. 1
pp. 20 – 29

Abstract

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The aim of the article is to study the armed aggression of the Russian Federation against Ukraine in a globalized world. Based on a system analysis of a complex of geopolitical, geo-economic and socio-political factors prognostic characteristics of transformation processes in the international security system are formulated. Russia’s foreign policy strategy is seen as an attempt by the authoritarian “Russian World” to offer a geopolitical alternative to the 21st century networked world order. The Revolution of Virtues was an event which determined Civilization choice of the people of Ukraine. The hopes of the Kremlin will return the armed force to the tools of international relations received an adequate response from the international community. In the modern geopolitical situation, the existence of the Russian state is ensured by the power structures. Russian expansionism is constrained by the unity of the world community in relation to the inadmissibility of violating the sovereignty and territorial integrity of nation states which is enshrined in the Final Act of the CSCE in 1975, and the UN Charter. The players of the new geopolitical reality are characterized – USA, EU, PRC. Despite the crisis processes within the European Union, annexation of the Russian Federation of Crimea and aggression in the East of Ukraine European countries brought to a common position – counteraction to the Russian aggressor. Economic sanctions of the EU can be lifted only after full implementation of the “Minsk agreements” – restoration of the sovereignty and territorial integrity of the Ukrainian state. The authors determine the features of the modern geo-economic paradigm of humanity – the transition from an industrial-agrarian to a postindustrial information system (The Fourth Technological Revolution). The republics of the former USSR are being transformed into a new economic order, which requires the introduction of democracy and market economy institutions. For Moldova, Georgia and Ukraine, this process is suspended by armed aggression of Russia. The annexation of the Crimea and the occupation of certain areas of the Donbas became a geopolitical relic of the Cold War. The challenge for Ukraine was the consolidation of society on the path of integration into NATO, which will ensure the restoration of its sovereignty and territorial integrity of state.

Keywords