Prediction of subsequent osteoporotic vertebral compression fracture on CT radiography via deep learning
Xiao Hu,
Yanjing Zhu,
Yadong Qian,
Ruiqi Huang,
Shuai Yin,
Zhili Zeng,
Ning Xie,
Bin Ma,
Yan Yu,
Qing Zhao,
Zhourui Wu,
Jianjie Wang,
Wei Xu,
Yilong Ren,
Chen Li,
Rongrong Zhu,
Liming Cheng
Affiliations
Xiao Hu
Key Laboratory of Spine and Spinal Cord Injury Repair and Regeneration of Ministry of Education, Orthopaedic Department of Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, School of Life Sciences and Technology Tongji University Shanghai China
Yanjing Zhu
Key Laboratory of Spine and Spinal Cord Injury Repair and Regeneration of Ministry of Education, Orthopaedic Department of Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, School of Life Sciences and Technology Tongji University Shanghai China
Yadong Qian
Division of Spine Department of Orthopaedics Tongji Hospital Tongji University School of Medicine Shanghai China
Ruiqi Huang
Key Laboratory of Spine and Spinal Cord Injury Repair and Regeneration of Ministry of Education, Orthopaedic Department of Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, School of Life Sciences and Technology Tongji University Shanghai China
Shuai Yin
Key Laboratory of Spine and Spinal Cord Injury Repair and Regeneration of Ministry of Education, Orthopaedic Department of Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, School of Life Sciences and Technology Tongji University Shanghai China
Zhili Zeng
Key Laboratory of Spine and Spinal Cord Injury Repair and Regeneration of Ministry of Education, Orthopaedic Department of Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, School of Life Sciences and Technology Tongji University Shanghai China
Ning Xie
Key Laboratory of Spine and Spinal Cord Injury Repair and Regeneration of Ministry of Education, Orthopaedic Department of Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, School of Life Sciences and Technology Tongji University Shanghai China
Bin Ma
Key Laboratory of Spine and Spinal Cord Injury Repair and Regeneration of Ministry of Education, Orthopaedic Department of Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, School of Life Sciences and Technology Tongji University Shanghai China
Yan Yu
Key Laboratory of Spine and Spinal Cord Injury Repair and Regeneration of Ministry of Education, Orthopaedic Department of Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, School of Life Sciences and Technology Tongji University Shanghai China
Qing Zhao
Key Laboratory of Spine and Spinal Cord Injury Repair and Regeneration of Ministry of Education, Orthopaedic Department of Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, School of Life Sciences and Technology Tongji University Shanghai China
Zhourui Wu
Key Laboratory of Spine and Spinal Cord Injury Repair and Regeneration of Ministry of Education, Orthopaedic Department of Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, School of Life Sciences and Technology Tongji University Shanghai China
Jianjie Wang
Key Laboratory of Spine and Spinal Cord Injury Repair and Regeneration of Ministry of Education, Orthopaedic Department of Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, School of Life Sciences and Technology Tongji University Shanghai China
Wei Xu
Key Laboratory of Spine and Spinal Cord Injury Repair and Regeneration of Ministry of Education, Orthopaedic Department of Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, School of Life Sciences and Technology Tongji University Shanghai China
Yilong Ren
Key Laboratory of Spine and Spinal Cord Injury Repair and Regeneration of Ministry of Education, Orthopaedic Department of Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, School of Life Sciences and Technology Tongji University Shanghai China
Chen Li
Key Laboratory of Spine and Spinal Cord Injury Repair and Regeneration of Ministry of Education, Orthopaedic Department of Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, School of Life Sciences and Technology Tongji University Shanghai China
Rongrong Zhu
Key Laboratory of Spine and Spinal Cord Injury Repair and Regeneration of Ministry of Education, Orthopaedic Department of Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, School of Life Sciences and Technology Tongji University Shanghai China
Liming Cheng
Key Laboratory of Spine and Spinal Cord Injury Repair and Regeneration of Ministry of Education, Orthopaedic Department of Tongji Hospital, School of Medicine, School of Life Sciences and Technology Tongji University Shanghai China
Abstract Combination of computed tomography (CT) radiography and deep learning to predict subsequent osteoporotic vertebral compression fracture (OVCF) has not been reported. To do so, we analyzed retrospectively CT images from 103 patients who experienced twice OVCF in Tongji Hospital from 2011 to 2022. Meanwhile, CT images from 70 age‐matched osteoporotic patients without vertebral fracture were used as the negative control. Convolutional neural network was used for classification and the Adam optimizer combining the momentum and exponentially weighted moving average gradients methods were used to update the weights of the networks. In the prediction model, we split 80% data of each type of the patient as the training group, while the other 20% was held as the independent testing group. We found that the number of subsequent fracture in women is higher than that in men (81 vs. 22). Additionally, the incidence rate of adjacent vertebral fracture is higher than that of remote vertebral fracture (64.1 vs. 35.9%), while the onset time of the former was 11.9 ± 12.8 months, significantly less than 22.3 ± 18.2 months of the latter (p < .001). For the prediction of subsequent fracture, our model attained .839 of accuracy and .883 of receiver operating characteristic–area under curve on the whole testing dataset. Furthermore, our model gained .867 and .719 of accuracy on the single‐class testing dataset separated from the former, .817 of accuracy on the independent test. In conclusion, we managed to generate a deep learning‐based model, which is able to predict subsequent OVCF in a precise and unbiased way just using CT images.