MRI-based radiomics model and nomogram for predicting the outcome of locoregional treatment in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

Abstract

Abstract Background Prediction of locoregional treatment response is important for further therapeutic strategy in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. This study aimed to investigate the role of MRI-based radiomics and nomogram for predicting the outcome of locoregional treatment in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. Methods The initial postoperative MRI after locoregional treatment in 100 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma was retrospectively analysed. The outcome was evaluated according to mRECIST at 6 months. We delineated the tumour volume of interest on arterial phase, portal venous phase and T2WI. The radiomics features were selected by using the independent sample t test or nonparametric Mann‒Whitney U test and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator. The clinical variables were selected by using univariate analysis and multivariate analysis. The radiomics model and combined model were constructed via multivariate logistic regression analysis. A nomogram was constructed that incorporated the Rad score and selected clinical variables. Results Fifty patients had an objective response, and fifty patients had a nonresponse. Nine radiomics features in the arterial phase were selected, but none of the portal venous phase or T2WI radiomics features were predictive of the treatment response. The best radiomics model showed an AUC of 0.833. Two clinical variables (hCRP and therapy method) were selected. The AUC of the combined model was 0.867. There was no significant difference in the AUC between the combined model and the best radiomics model (P = 0.573). Decision curve analysis demonstrated the nomogram has satisfactory predictive value. Conclusions MRI-based radiomics analysis may serve as a promising and noninvasive tool to predict outcome of locoregional treatment in HCC patients, which will facilitate the individualized follow-up and further therapeutic strategies guidance.

Keywords

• Hepatocellular carcinoma
• Radiomics
• Magnetic resonance imaging
• Locoregional treatment