Nature Communications (Nov 2021)

Using secondary cases to characterize the severity of an emerging or re-emerging infection

  • Tim K. Tsang,
  • Can Wang,
  • Bingyi Yang,
  • Simon Cauchemez,
  • Benjamin J. Cowling

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-26709-7
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 12, no. 1
pp. 1 – 13

Abstract

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Estimates of the severity of emerging infections did not consider the case ascertainment method, but secondary cases identified by contact tracing of index cases may be more reliable as they are less susceptible to ascertainment bias. Here, the authors perform a systematic review to quantify these differences and model their impacts for COVID-19.