Projection on China’s Automobile Stock and Traffic Carbon Emissions

Abstract

As a means of transportation, automobiles produce large carbon emissions. On the basis of analyzing the carbon emissions of automobile transportation in 2021, the ownership model, new car sales structure model and carbon emissions analysis model are constructed, and the carbon emissions of automobiles under the baseline scenario and dual carbon scenario in 2022-2060 are predicted. For dual carbon, the main technology path of automobile can be divided into four parts: popularizing new energy vehicles, energy-saving fuel vehicles, green transportation and zero-carbon fuels.