Risk Assessment of Falling Objects from Façades of Existing Buildings

Abstract

Falling objects from façades often lead to serious accidents, which has become a technical problem to be solved urgently. This paper established a database of potential safety hazard of falling objects from façades via the statistics of detection façades in Shanghai. Some detailed insufficiencies and swelling defects were analyzed. A risk assessment system of falling objects from façades was established using the Fault Tree Analysis (FTA) method. The weight coefficient was determined by the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). The beta distribution was used to fit the probability distribution of the occurrence probability of the elementary risk event. Based on the Monte Carlo model, the risk of falling objects from façades was assessed. A probability distribution of the risk probability of falling objects from façades and the importance of elementary risk factors were obtained. Some risk control measures of falling objects from façades were proposed.

Keywords

• falling objects
• façade
• detail insufficiencies
• swelling defects
• Monte Carlo model
• risk assessment