Land Use Drivers of Population Dynamics in Tasks of Security Management and Risk Assessment

Abstract

Approach to population data disaggregation in tasks of risk assessment is presented in this paper. The approach is based on analysis of land cover distribution separately in rural and urban areas. Model to analyze a population distribution on regular grid in a study area is proposed. Formal algorithms to estimate disaster losses distributions depending on population distribution, agroecological, socio-economic, and socio-ecological parameters are proposed. Concluding on population vulnerability and losses distribution in depending of land-use factors are proposed.

Keywords

• Population density
• Disaster losses
• Rural and urban areas
• Agroecology
• Infrastructure accessibility
• Resources availability