Reduction of territorial fire risks based on methods of active systems theory

Abstract

Subject of the study: Models of relationships between specific index for the number of deaths and injuries in fires and specific load by fires are studied. A complex specific indicator (the number of deaths and injuries in fires) is formed. Thereupon, based on the principles of active systems theory, a target function for optimal territorial distribution of human resources of fire service in clusters – groups of homogeneous provinces in terms of fire risks – is constructed. Goal of the study: The article is aimed at justifying and constructing complex criteria for optimal management of the human resources of the fire service. Materials and methods: Methodological basis for fire risks assessment is the integral fire risks theory, and human resources management is the theory of active systems. The dynamics of fire risk indicators in Vietnam from 2006 to 2016 is considered. Results: The optimal distribution of human resources allows a 10-12% reduction in the complex specific indicator of risks. Conclusions: The obtained solutions make it possible to develop practical recommendations for authorities, industries, including construction industry, and fire service, on improving management of territorial human resources taking into account fire risks, enhancing legal and regulatory support for insurance in construction industry.