Rice Yield Prediction in Different Growth Environments Using Unmanned Aerial Vehicle-Based Hyperspectral Imaging

Abstract

There are certain growth stages and spectral regions that are optimal for obtaining a high accuracy in rice yield prediction by remote sensing. However, there is insufficient knowledge to establish a yield prediction model widely applicable for growth environments with different meteorological factors. In this study, high temporal resolution remote sensing using unmanned aerial vehicle-based hyperspectral imaging was performed to improve the yield prediction accuracy of paddy rice cultivated in different environments. The normalized difference spectral index, an index derived from canopy reflectance at any two spectral bands, was used for a simple linear regression analysis to estimate the optimum stage and spectral region for yield prediction. Although the highest prediction accuracy was obtained from the red-edge and near-infrared regions at the booting stage, the generalization performance for different growth environments was slightly higher at the heading stage than at the booting stage. The coefficient of determination and the root mean squared percentage error for the heading stage were R2 = 0.858 and RMSPE = 7.52%, and they were R2 = 0.853 and RMSPE = 9.22% for the booting stage, respectively. In addition, a correction by solar radiation was ineffective at improving the prediction accuracy. The results demonstrate the possibility of establishing regression models with a high prediction accuracy from a single remote sensing measurement at the heading stage without using meteorological data correction.

Keywords

• rice
• yield prediction
• hyperspectral imaging
• UAV
• regression analysis
• precision agriculture