Journal of Neurodevelopmental Disorders (Jul 2025)

Brain functional connectivity correlates of autism diagnosis and familial liability in 24-month-olds

  • John R Pruett Jr.,
  • Alexandre A Todorov,
  • Zoë W Hawks,
  • Muhamed Talovic,
  • Tomoyuki Nishino,
  • Steven E Petersen,
  • Savannah Davis,
  • Lyn Stahl,
  • Kelly N Botteron,
  • John N Constantino,
  • Stephen R Dager,
  • Jed T Elison,
  • Annette M Estes,
  • Alan C Evans,
  • Guido Gerig,
  • Jessica B Girault,
  • Heather Hazlett,
  • Leigh MacIntyre,
  • Natasha Marrus,
  • Robert C McKinstry,
  • Juhi Pandey,
  • Robert T Schultz,
  • William D Shannon,
  • Mark D Shen,
  • Abraham Z Snyder,
  • Martin Styner,
  • Jason J Wolff,
  • Lonnie Zwaigenbaum,
  • Joseph Piven,
  • for the IBIS Network

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1186/s11689-025-09621-9
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 17, no. 1
pp. 1 – 15

Abstract

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Abstract Background fcMRI correlates of autism spectrum disorder (ASD) diagnosis and familial liability were studied in 24-month-olds at high (older affected sibling) and low familial likelihood for ASD. Methods fcMRI comparisons of high-familial-likelihood (HL) ASD-positive (HLP, N = 23) and ASD-negative (HLN, N = 91), and low-likelihood ASD-negative (LLN, N = 27) 24-month-olds from the Infant Brain Imaging Study (IBIS) Network were conducted, employing object oriented data analysis (OODA), support vector machine (SVM) classification, and network-level fcMRI enrichment analyses. Results OODA (alpha = 0.0167, 3 comparisons) revealed differences in HLP and LLN fcMRI matrices (p = 0.012), but none for HLP versus HLN (p = 0.047) nor HLN versus LLN (p = 0.225). SVM distinguished HLP from HLN (accuracy = 99%, PPV = 96%, NPV = 100%), based on connectivity involving many networks. SVM accurately classified (non-training) LLN subjects with 100% accuracy. Enrichment analyses identified a cross-group fcMRI difference in the posterior cingulate default mode network 1 (pcDMN1)– temporal default mode network (tDMN) pair (p = 0.0070). Functional connectivity for implicated connections in these networks was consistently lower in HLP and HLN than in LLN (p = 0.0461 and 0.0004). HLP did not differ from HLN (p = 0.2254). Secondary testing showed HL children with low ASD behaviors still differed from LLN (p = 0.0036). Conclusions 24-month-old high-familial-likelihood infants show reduced intra-DMN connectivity, a potential neural finding related to familial liability, while widely distributed functional connections correlate with ASD diagnosis.

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