PEMFC RUL Prediction for Non-Stationary Time Series Based on Crossformer Model

Abstract

Proton-Exchange Membrane Fuel Cells (PEMFCs), as efficient and environmentally friendly energy conversion devices, have wide application potential in areas such as transportation, mobile power, and distributed energy. However, the remaining useful life (RUL) issue of PEMFCs has been one of the main challenges limiting their commercialization. The RUL prediction problem of PEMFCs exhibits characteristics of time series forecasting, but its data possess multidimensional features and non-stationarity, which limits the applicability of classical time series forecasting models like the Transformer in solving the RUL prediction problem. In this paper, we propose a PEMFC RUL prediction model based on the Crossformer for non-stationary time series (De-stationary-Crossformer). Firstly, the overall architecture adopts the Crossformer model to extract dependencies between different features and temporal dependencies. Secondly, adaptive normalization is applied to the data to mitigate the non-stationarity in the original data, thereby increasing their predictability. Subsequently, a non-stationary attention mechanism is introduced in the model to simultaneously utilize the non-stationarity in the original data when extracting deep information. Additionally, manual features are introduced through mathematical statistics to enhance the predictive performance of the model. During the training process, the TILDE-Q loss function is used to focus on the similarity between the predicted sequence and the true sequence. The model proposed in this paper improves the MSE by 31% compared to the Transformer and 23% compared to the Crossformer in the experimental prediction of the RUL of PEMFCs in actual vehicles.

Keywords

• PEMFC
• RUL prediction
• time series forecasting
• multidimensional features
• non-stationary