Dampak Liberalisasi Perdagangan RI-China Terhadap Perubahan Perdagangan dan Kesejahteraan Masyarakat Indonesia: Ssebuah Pendekatan Ekuilibrium Parsial (SMART Model) dan Pemanfaatan Sistem Neraca Sosial Ekonomi 2008

Abstract

This paper attempts to evaluate the impact of Indonesia-China trade liberalisation in changing Indonesian trade and Indonesian society welfare. To evaluate such impact, the study uses the Software for Market Analysis and Restrictions on Trade (SMART Model) and Social Accounting Matrix 2008 (SAM 2008). Based on the result of the Indonesia-China trade liberalization scenario analysis, it is found that the net income received by the households due to the foreign trade with China is negative, which means the amount of the household expenditure due to the huge amount of Chinese commodities entering Indonesia is still higher compared to the amount of the household income received as a result of the Indonesian export of its commodities to China. The increased net income is enjoyed by all types of households.

Keywords

• free trade
• trade liberalisation
• partial equilibrium analysis
• software for market analysis and restrictions on trade (SMART) model