Towards greener futures: SVR-based CO2 prediction model boosted by SCMSSA algorithm

Abstract

This research presents the utilization of an enhanced Sine cosine perturbation with Chaotic perturbation and Mirror imaging strategy-based Salp Swarm Algorithm (SCMSSA), which incorporates three improvement mechanisms, to enhance the convergence accuracy and speed of the optimization algorithm. The study assesses the SCMSSA algorithm's performance against other optimization algorithms using six test functions to show the efficacy of the enhancement strategies. Furthermore, its efficacy in improving Support Vector Regression (SVR) models for CO2 prediction is assessed. The results reveal that the SVR-SCMSSA hybrid model surpasses other hybrid models and standard SVR in terms of training and prediction accuracy by obtaining 95 % accuracy. Its swift convergence, precision, and resistance to local optima position make it an excellent choice for addressing complex problems such as CO2 prediction, with critical implications for sustainability efforts. Moreover, feature importance analysis by SVR-SCMSSA offers valuable insights into the key contributors to CO2 prediction in the dataset, emphasizing the significance and impact of factors such as fossil fuel, Biomass, and Wood as major contributors to CO2 emission. The research suggests the adoption of the SVR-SCMSSA hybrid model for more accurate and reliable CO2 prediction to researchers and policymakers, which is essential for environmental sustainability and climate change mitigation.

Keywords

• Sine cosine perturbation
• Chaotic perturbation
• Mirror imaging strategy
• Salp swarm algorithm (SCMSSA)
• Support vector regression (SVR)