Electric Kickboard Demand Prediction in Spatiotemporal Dimension Using Clustering-Aided Bagging Regressor

Abstract

Demand for electric kickboards is increasing specifically in tourist-centric regions worldwide. In order to gain a competitive edge and to provide quality service to customers, it is essential to properly deploy rental electric kickboards (e-kickboards) at the time and place customers want. However, it is necessary to study how to divide the region to predict electric mobility demand by region. Therefore, this study is made to more accurately predict future demand based on past regional customers’ electric mobility demand data. We have proposed a novel electric kickboard demand prediction in spatiotemporal dimension using clustering-aided bagging regressor. We have used electric kickboard usage data from a Jeju, South Korea-based company. As a result of the experiment, it was found that the accuracy before using clustering-based bagging regressor and when the region was divided by the clustering method, the performance was improved, and we have achieved a regression score R2 of 93.42 using our proposed approach. We have compared our proposed approach with other state-of-the-art models, and we have also compared our model with different other combinations of bagging regressors. This study can be helpful for companies to meet the user’s demand for a better quality of service.