Global sensitivity analysis of photovoltaic cell parameters based on credibility variance

Abstract

Photovoltaic cells can directly convert solar energy into electrical energy, which is environmentally friendly and has a wide range of applications. In practical engineering, the uncertainty of photovoltaic cell parameters has an important impact on cell performance. In order to study the influence of parameter uncertainty on the output performance of photovoltaic cells, a photovoltaic cell model is established and five parameters are selected: irradiation intensity, photovoltaic cell surface temperature, temperature coefficient, equivalent series resistance and equivalent parallel resistance. The influence of these parameters on the output power and conversion efficiency of photovoltaic cells is studied by using the global sensitivity analysis method based on fuzzy theory. The principal and total global sensitivity indexes describing the influence of each parameter on the output performance were therefore calculated and ranked. The key parameters influencing the performance of photovoltaic cells were determined to be related to cell surface temperature and equivalent parallel resistance. In actual production and life, the output performance of photovoltaic cells can be improved by controlling these two factors. The results of this study can help to guide the performance analysis and parameter optimization of photovoltaic cells, accelerating the development and improving the adoption of photovoltaic systems.

Keywords

• Photovoltaic cell
• Output power
• Conversion efficiency
• Credibility variance
• Global sensitivity