Optimizing sustainability of land resource utilization: a comprehensive analysis of practices in the Tarim Basin, China

Yifei Song; Weicheng Wu; Yanfei Zhang; Minqiang Zhu; Xinxin Ke; Yuan Li; Yecheng He; Cuimin Zhou; Wenjing Li; Rong Jing; Peixia Song; Linqian Fu; Chunling Mao; Meng Xie; Xiaoping Song; Aiqing Chen; Sicheng Li; Aohui Li; Yingxu Song

doi:10.1080/14735903.2024.2335140

International Journal of Agricultural Sustainability (Dec 2024)

Optimizing sustainability of land resource utilization: a comprehensive analysis of practices in the Tarim Basin, China

Yifei Song,
Weicheng Wu,
Yanfei Zhang,
Minqiang Zhu,
Xinxin Ke,
Yuan Li,
Yecheng He,
Cuimin Zhou,
Wenjing Li,
Rong Jing,
Peixia Song,
Linqian Fu,
Chunling Mao,
Meng Xie,
Xiaoping Song,
Aiqing Chen,
Sicheng Li,
Aohui Li,
Yingxu Song

Affiliations

Yifei Song: Key Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of China
Weicheng Wu: Key Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of China
Yanfei Zhang: Key Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of China
Minqiang Zhu: Key Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of China
Xinxin Ke: Key Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of China
Yuan Li: Key Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of China
Yecheng He: Key Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of China
Cuimin Zhou: Key Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of China
Wenjing Li: Key Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of China
Rong Jing: Key Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of China
Peixia Song: Key Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of China
Linqian Fu: Key Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of China
Chunling Mao: Key Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of China
Meng Xie: Key Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of China
Xiaoping Song: Key Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of China
Aiqing Chen: Key Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of China
Sicheng Li: Key Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of China
Aohui Li: Key Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of China
Yingxu Song: Key Lab of Digital Land and Resources and Faculty of Earth Sciences, East China University of Technology, Nanchang, People’s Republic of China

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/14735903.2024.2335140
Journal volume & issue: Vol. 22, no. 1

Abstract

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ABSTRACTIn the context of global warming and the increasing water shortage in dry areas, it is necessary to find a sustainable pathway for utilization of land resources (ULR) to solve these problems. For this purpose, using socioeconomic and environmental indicators from 2006 to 2018 and taking the Tarim Basin, China as an example, this study employed an integrated approach composed of the indicator evaluation system (IES) and the System Dynamics (SD) model to evaluate the possibility of sustainable ULR in the basin. During the simulation, three scenarios namely traditional development (TD), economic priority (EP) and harmonious development (HD) were designed, and different thresholds were set for each indicator of potential ULR in each sub-region to predict their future development status. The IES was established to derive the sustainable utilization degree (SUD) of ULR. The results show that the SUD in Tarim in 2030 is likely be 0.60 (TD), 0.62 (EP) and 0.68 (HD), indicating that only in HD scenario is it possible to find pathway to solve water scarcity problem and achieve sustainable ULR. This study provides a supportive idea for decision-making on sustainable ULR in Tarim and also an approach for similar sustainability assessment in other dry areas.

Published in International Journal of Agricultural Sustainability

ISSN: 1473-5903 (Print); 1747-762X (Online)
Publisher: Taylor & Francis Group
Country of publisher: United Kingdom
LCC subjects: Agriculture
Website: https://www.tandfonline.com/tags

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