Predictive Value of Echocardiographic Pulmonary to Left Atrial Ratio for In-Hospital Death in Patients with COVID-19

Abstract

Background: Echocardiographic Pulmonary to Left Atrial Ratio (ePLAR) represents an accurate and sensitive non-invasive tool to estimate the trans-pulmonary gradient. The prognostic value of ePLAR in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 remains unknown. We aimed to investigate the predictive value of ePLAR on in-hospital mortality in patients with COVID-19. Methods: One hundred consecutive patients admitted to two Italian institutions for COVID-19 undergoing early ( 0.28 m/s at baseline showed non-significant but markedly increased in-hospital mortality compared to those having ePLAR ≤ 0.28 m/s (27% vs. 10.8%, p = 0.055). Multivariate Cox regression showed that an ePLAR > 0.28 m/s was independently associated with an increased risk of death (HR 5.07, 95% CI 1.04–24.50, p = 0.043), particularly when associated with increased sPAP (p for interaction = 0.043). Conclusions: A high ePLAR value at baseline predicts in-hospital death in patients with COVID-19, especially in those with elevated pulmonary arterial pressure. These results support an early ePLAR assessment in patients admitted for COVID-19 to identify those at higher risk and potentially guide strategies of diagnosis and care.

Keywords

• ePLAR
• pulmonary embolism
• trans-pulmonary pressure gradient
• COVID-19
• in-hospital mortality