Prediction of Chemotherapy Efficacy in Patients with Colorectal Cancer Ovarian Metastases: A Preliminary Study Using Contrast-Enhanced Computed-Tomography-Based Radiomics

Abstract

Ovarian metastasis (OM) from colorectal cancer (CRC) is infrequent and has a poor prognosis. The purpose of this study is to investigate the value of a contrast-enhanced CT-based radiomics model in predicting ovarian metastasis from colorectal cancer outcomes after systemic chemotherapy. A total of 52 ovarian metastatic CRC patients who received first-line systemic chemotherapy were retrospectively included in this study and were categorized into chemo-benefit (C+) and no-chemo-benefit (C−) groups, using Response Criteria in Solid Tumors (RECIST v1.1) as the standard. A total of 1743 radiomics features were extracted from baseline CT, three methods were adopted during the feature selection, and five prediction models were constructed. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, calibration analysis, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the diagnostic performance and clinical utility of each model. Among those machine-learning-based radiomics models, the SVM model showed the best performance on the validation dataset, with AUC, accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of 0.903 (95% CI, 0.788–0.967), 88.5%, 95.7%, and 82.8%, respectively. All radiomics models exhibited good calibration, and the DCA demonstrated that the SVM model had a higher net benefit than other models across the majority of the range of threshold probabilities. Our findings showed that contrast-enhanced CT-based radiomics models have high discriminating power in predicting the outcome of colorectal cancer ovarian metastases patients receiving chemotherapy.

Keywords

• colorectal cancer
• ovarian metastases
• radiomics
• chemotherapy efficacy