Nature Communications (Nov 2020)

Bryophytes are predicted to lag behind future climate change despite their high dispersal capacities

  • F. Zanatta,
  • R. Engler,
  • F. Collart,
  • O. Broennimann,
  • R. G. Mateo,
  • B. Papp,
  • J. Muñoz,
  • D. Baurain,
  • A. Guisan,
  • A. Vanderpoorten

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-19410-8
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 11, no. 1
pp. 1 – 9

Abstract

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Bryophytes tend to be sensitive to warming, but their high dispersal ability could help them track climate change. Here the authors combine correlative niche models and mechanistic dispersal models for 40 European bryophyte species under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, finding that most of these species are unlikely to track climate change over the coming decades.