Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences (May 2012)

Investigating the time-scaling behavior of the 2004–2010 seismicity of Aswan area (Egypt) by means of the Allan factor statistics and the detrended fluctuation analysis

  • L. Telesca,
  • M. Lovallo,
  • A. E.-E. Amin Mohamed,
  • M. ElGabry,
  • S. El-hady,
  • K. M. Abou Elenean,
  • R. ElShafey Fat ElBary

DOI
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-12-1267-2012
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 12, no. 5
pp. 1267 – 1276

Abstract

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The time dynamics of seismicity of Aswan area (Egypt) from 2004 to 2010 was investigated by means of the (i) Allan Factor, which is a powerful tool allowing the capture of time-clusterized properties of temporal point processes; and the (ii) detrended fluctuation analysis, which is capable of detecting scaling in nonstationary time series. The analysis was performed varying the depth and the magnitude thresholds. The 2004–2010 Aswan seismicity is characterized by significant three-fold time-clustering behaviors with scaling exponents ~0.77 for timescales between 10<sup>4.16</sup> s and 10<sup>5.14</sup> s, ~0.34 for timescales between 10<sup>5.14</sup> s and 10<sup>6.53</sup> s, and ~1 for higher timescales. The seismic interevent times and distances are characterized by persistent temporal fluctuations for most of the magnitude and depth thresholds.