Predictive Analysis of Rice Pest Distribution in Bali Province Using Backpropagation Neural Network

Abstract

The distribution of pests in rice plants results in significant losses in production and damage to rice plants for farmers, seen from data on the area of rice borer attacks in the province of Bali in Tabanan district. Therefore, by predicting the distribution of rice pests, we can know the pattern of pest attacks so that we can anticipate them because predicting can provide accuracy and error values through the test results. One of the prediction models is BPNN, where BPNN's advantages for solving complex problems are very suitable for use where large amounts of data are involved and many input/output variables, BPNN is also capable of modeling nonlinear relationships between input and output variables, which may be difficult to capture by this type of predictive model. other. Backpropagation includes supervised learning, which means it can learn from labeled examples and can make accurate predictions on new, unlabeled data. Split data using K-fold cross-validation serves to assess the process performance of an algorithmic method by dividing random data samples and grouping the data as many as K k-fold values.

Keywords

• rice pest prediction
• backpropagation analysis
• machine learning