SOCRATES: an online tool leveraging a social contact data sharing initiative to assess mitigation strategies for COVID-19

Abstract

Abstract Objective Establishing a social contact data sharing initiative and an interactive tool to assess mitigation strategies for COVID-19. Results We organized data sharing of published social contact surveys via online repositories and formatting guidelines. We analyzed this social contact data in terms of weighted social contact matrices, next generation matrices, relative incidence and R $$_{0}$$ 0 . We incorporated location-specific physical distancing measures (e.g. school closure or at work) and capture their effect on transmission dynamics. All methods have been implemented in an online application based on R Shiny and applied to COVID-19 with age-specific susceptibility and infectiousness. Using our online tool with the available social contact data, we illustrate that physical distancing could have a considerable impact on reducing transmission for COVID-19. The effect itself depends on assumptions made about disease-specific characteristics and the choice of intervention(s).

Keywords

• Social contact data
• User interface
• Transmission dynamics
• Infectious diseases
• Epidemics
• Social distancing