Tens of thousands additional deaths annually in cities of China between 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C warming

Yanjun Wang; Anqian Wang; Jianqing Zhai; Hui Tao; Tong Jiang; Buda Su; Jun Yang; Guojie Wang; Qiyong Liu; Chao Gao; Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz; Mingjin Zhan; Zhiqiang Feng; Thomas Fischer

doi:10.1038/s41467-019-11283-w

Nature Communications (Aug 2019)

Tens of thousands additional deaths annually in cities of China between 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C warming

Yanjun Wang,
Anqian Wang,
Jianqing Zhai,
Hui Tao,
Tong Jiang,
Buda Su,
Jun Yang,
Guojie Wang,
Qiyong Liu,
Chao Gao,
Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz,
Mingjin Zhan,
Zhiqiang Feng,
Thomas Fischer

Affiliations

Yanjun Wang: Institute for Disaster Risk Management /School of Geographical Science, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology
Anqian Wang: State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Jianqing Zhai: National Climate Center, China Meteorological Administration
Hui Tao: State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Tong Jiang: Institute for Disaster Risk Management /School of Geographical Science, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology
Buda Su: State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Jun Yang: Institute for Environmental and Climate Research, Jinan University
Guojie Wang: Institute for Disaster Risk Management /School of Geographical Science, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology
Qiyong Liu: National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention
Chao Gao: Faculty of Architectural, Civil Engineering and Environment, Ningbo University
Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz: Institute for Disaster Risk Management /School of Geographical Science, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology
Mingjin Zhan: Jiangxi Climate Center
Zhiqiang Feng: School of Geosciences, University of Edinburgh
Thomas Fischer: Department of Geosciences, Eberhard Karls University

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-11283-w
Journal volume & issue: Vol. 10, no. 1
pp. 1 – 7

Abstract

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Heatwaves are expected to increase under climate change, and so are the associated deaths. Here the authors determine the regional high temperature thresholds for 27 metropolises in China and analyze the changes to heat-related mortality, showing that the additional global-warming temperature increase of 0.5°C, from 1.5°C to 2.0°C, will lead to tens of thousands of additional deaths, annually.

Published in Nature Communications

ISSN: 2041-1723 (Online)
Publisher: Nature Portfolio
Country of publisher: United Kingdom
LCC subjects: Science
Website: https://www.nature.com/ncomms/

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