Energy Reports (Nov 2022)
Resilience assessment and improvement for electric power transmission systems against typhoon disasters: A data-model hybrid driven approach
Abstract
In response to the damage to electric power transmission systems caused by typhoon disasters in coastal areas, a planning-targeted resilience assessment framework that considers the impact of multiple factors is established to accurately find the weak links of the transmission system and improve the system resilience. Firstly, this paper constructs the attenuation model of the wind field and the comprehensive failure model of the system, in which the model drive to establish the cumulative failure model of the transmission system is adopted, and multiple data-driven schemes to correct the cumulative failure rate by relying on the feature factor information of the transmission system is adopted. At the same time, an analytic hierarchy process-weighted arithmetic averaging (AHP-WAA) method is introduced to select the optimal data-driven evaluation scheme. Secondly, this paper adopts the impact-increment-based state enumeration (IISE) method to establish resilience indicators for systems and corridors separately. On this basis, the optimal promotion strategy is selected according to the construction difficulty, resilience improvement ability, and cost analysis. Finally, simulations on the IEEE RTS-79 system have been carried out considering the influence of the real typhoon scenarios, micro-topographic and transmission corridor information factors. The results demonstrate that the hybrid-driven system resilience assessment and improvement method can assist planners in accurately judging the resilience level of the system against typhoon disasters and selecting the best resilience improvement strategy based on the cost-effectiveness ratio.
