Hybrid load prediction model of 5G base station based on time series decomposition and GRU network with parameter optimization

Abstract

Abstract To ensure the safe and stable operation of 5G base stations, it is essential to accurately predict their power load. However, current short‐term prediction methods are rarely applied rationally in pertinent circumstances to the features of base station power load over time. For high accuracy and generalization capabilities, this work proposes a hybrid approach that combines gated recurrent unit (GRU) with particle swarm optimization (PSO) and completes ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN). The complex load is decomposed into multiple components to improve the fit of the neural network. To deal with the nonlinearity that constrains the modal aliasing and data noise, CEEMDAN is used to reconstruct the trend and noise sequences. The GRU network is utilized to improve the neural network fitness and obtain long‐term features. In addition, PSO is used to optimize the number of neurons and the learning rate of the GRU. Compared with existing neural network GRUs, the RMSE is reduced by 16.6, the mean absolute error is reduced by 11.97, and the coefficient of R2 is improved by 0.13, indicating that the model has a better fitting effect. The comparisons prove that the proposed model has better accuracy than the existing methods.

Keywords

• load forecasting
• particle swarm optimisation
• recurrent neural nets