Critical Care Explorations (Jun 2024)

Prediction of Readmission Following Sepsis Using Social Determinants of Health

  • Fatemeh Amrollahi, MS,
  • Brent D. Kennis, BS,
  • Supreeth Prajwal Shashikumar, PhD,
  • Atul Malhotra, MD,
  • Stephanie Parks Taylor, MD, MSc,
  • James Ford, MD,
  • Arianna Rodriguez, MD,
  • Julia Weston, MD,
  • Romir Maheshwary, MD,
  • Shamim Nemati, PhD,
  • Gabriel Wardi, MD,
  • Angela Meier, MD, PhD

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1097/CCE.0000000000001099
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 6, no. 6
p. e1099

Abstract

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OBJECTIVES:. To determine the predictive value of social determinants of health (SDoH) variables on 30-day readmission following a sepsis hospitalization as compared with traditional clinical variables. DESIGN:. Multicenter retrospective cohort study using patient-level data, including demographic, clinical, and survey data. SETTINGS:. Thirty-five hospitals across the United States from 2017 to 2021. PATIENTS:. Two hundred seventy-one thousand four hundred twenty-eight individuals in the AllofUs initiative, of which 8909 had an index sepsis hospitalization. INTERVENTIONS:. None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS:. Unplanned 30-day readmission to the hospital. Multinomial logistic regression models were constructed to account for survival in determination of variables associate with 30-day readmission and are presented as adjusted odds rations (aORs). Of the 8909 sepsis patients in our cohort, 21% had an unplanned hospital readmission within 30 days. Median age (interquartile range) was 54 years (41–65 yr), 4762 (53.4%) were female, and there were self-reported 1612 (18.09%) Black, 2271 (25.49%) Hispanic, and 4642 (52.1%) White individuals. In multinomial logistic regression models accounting for survival, we identified that change to nonphysician provider type due to economic reasons (aOR, 2.55 [2.35–2.74]), delay of receiving medical care due to lack of transportation (aOR, 1.68 [1.62–1.74]), and inability to afford flow-up care (aOR, 1.59 [1.52–1.66]) were strongly and independently associated with a 30-day readmission when adjusting for survival. Patients who lived in a ZIP code with a high percentage of patients in poverty and without health insurance were also more likely to be readmitted within 30 days (aOR, 1.26 [1.22–1.29] and aOR, 1.28 [1.26–1.29], respectively). Finally, we found that having a primary care provider and health insurance were associated with low odds of an unplanned 30-day readmission. CONCLUSIONS:. In this multicenter retrospective cohort, several SDoH variables were strongly associated with unplanned 30-day readmission. Models predicting readmission following sepsis hospitalization may benefit from the addition of SDoH factors to traditional clinical variables.