E3S Web of Conferences (Jan 2021)

Quantitative Prediction Method for Distribution Power Grid Risk

  • Xuesong Tang,
  • Bin Wu,
  • Guangming Yu,
  • Jianwei Zou,
  • Han Zhou,
  • Di Xie,
  • Yingxu Jin

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/202123601014
Journal volume & issue
Vol. 236
p. 01014

Abstract

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The electric power distribution grid is directly oriented to the majority of the ordinary users. Traditional operation and maintenance are performed mainly based on experience, which disable to rationally evaluate the status of the line and predict faults. Based on big data, the risk of the line is evaluated through principal component analysis in this paper, so that a machine learning algorithm is carried out to calculate the risk value of the distribution grid line unit. Finally, GA-BP neural network is used to build a line risk value prediction model for improvement.