Forecasting of the first hour aftershocks by means of the perceived magnitude

E. Lippiello; G. Petrillo; C. Godano; A. Tramelli; E. Papadimitriou; V. Karakostas

doi:10.1038/s41467-019-10763-3

Nature Communications (Jul 2019)

Forecasting of the first hour aftershocks by means of the perceived magnitude

E. Lippiello,
G. Petrillo,
C. Godano,
A. Tramelli,
E. Papadimitriou,
V. Karakostas

Affiliations

E. Lippiello: Department of Mathematics and Physics, University of Campania “L. Vanvitelli”
G. Petrillo: Department of Mathematics and Physics, University of Campania “L. Vanvitelli”
C. Godano: Department of Mathematics and Physics, University of Campania “L. Vanvitelli”
A. Tramelli: Istituto Nazionale Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sez. Napoli, Osservatorio Vesuviano
E. Papadimitriou: Geophysics Department, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki
V. Karakostas: Geophysics Department, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-10763-3
Journal volume & issue: Vol. 10, no. 1
pp. 1 – 10

Abstract

Read online

The timing and locations of aftershocks following the initial impact of an earthquake are key to mitigate potential further hazards. Here the authors use the seismic ground velocity as input parameter to provide accurate probabilities of post seismic occurrence within 30 min of the main shock.

Published in Nature Communications

ISSN: 2041-1723 (Online)
Publisher: Nature Portfolio
Country of publisher: United Kingdom
LCC subjects: Science
Website: https://www.nature.com/ncomms/

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