Club convergence of per capita greenhouse gas emissions in Africa: A multi-sectoral analysis of trends and drivers

Abstract

This study aims to fill a significant knowledge gap by examining the dynamics of sectoral per capita greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions convergence across 54 African countries from 1980 to 2019. Using the log (t) club convergence approach, this study uncovers the presence of multiple local steady-state convergence patterns within each sector. A significant correlation emerges between the classification of countries regarding their total and energy sector emissions. In particular, less industrialized African countries with higher proportions of renewable energy consumption tend to demonstrate elevated convergence rates in both total and per capita energy emissions. Further, the analysis indicates that wealthier countries with greater trade intensity and increased industrialization are associated with a higher rate of convergence in the agriculture sector. By highlighting the heterogeneity in sectoral patterns and the evolving landscape of GHG emissions in Africa, this study provides valuable insight for the formulation of policies that concurrently address the challenges of sustainable development and climate change mitigation.

Keywords

• Club convergence
• Africa countries
• Climate policy
• Sectoral heterogeneity
• Greenhouse gas emissions